KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above $405,000 93%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.1K
Liquidity
$2.1K
Low liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 9:00 PM UTCOct 13, 26, 1:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US existing home sales for September
KalshiUS new home · Median sales price in August
KalshiWhat will the median home value in the US be on September 30?
PolymarketWhat will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
PolymarketWhat will the median home value in Miami be on September 30?
PolymarketDid US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Median Sales Price of Existing Homes (HOSMEDUSM052N) for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:FRED Existing Home Price
- The Underlying is the first value published by FRED for the September 2026 observation of Median Sales Price of Existing Homes (HOSMEDUSM052N), stated in U.S. dollars, not seasonally adjusted.
Open markets
Macro & EconomyKALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No91%
- Yes+2.0pt9%
- Total Vol
- $3.2M
- 24h Vol
- $38.9K
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+16.0pt60%
- Above $4.80+8.0pt41%
- Above $5.00+5.0pt33%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above+1.2pt52%
- 8,200 or above-3.7pt28%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.2M
KALSHIWill the S&P finish positive this year?
- Yes-1.0pt86%
- No14%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $10.2K
KALSHIUS SPR level for the week ending September 11, 2026
- Above 280M91%
- Above 281M91%
- Above 289M7%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.7K
- 24h Vol
- $8.7K
KALSHIPoland rate decision in October
- Maintain current rate+6.0pt82.3%
- Hike 1-25bps+2.0pt7.8%
- Cut 1-25bps-1.0pt5.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
- How high will gas prices in California get this year?
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- Visitors to Florida in 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- Fear & Greed Index on Sep 11, 2026?
- Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- How low will the S&P get this year?
- How low will US gas prices get in 2026?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US existing home · Median sales price in September?
- Kalshi prices Above $405,000 at 93% as of September 11, 2026.
- When does US existing home · Median sales price in September resolve?
- US existing home · Median sales price in September is scheduled to resolve on October 13, 2026.
- How is US existing home · Median sales price in September settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Median Sales Price of Existing Homes (HOSMEDUSM052N) for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.