KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No (86%)
Resolved: Oct 14, 2026, 1:26 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 14, 2026, 12:12 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes14%
No86%
NoWon
YesLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If core CPI inflation MoM is above headline CPI inflation MoM for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index
- Only the first non-preliminary release of each value will be used.
- Revisions published after the first non-preliminary release will not affect resolution.
- For purposes of this market, “core CPI” means the seasonally adjusted one-month percent change for “All items less food and energy” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS. “Headline CPI” means the seasonally adjusted one-month percent change for “All items” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS.
- The comparison will use the one-decimal values reported by BLS.
- If the values are equal, the market resolves No.
