KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Maintain current rate 85.3%Leader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$29.3K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 4, 26, 2:45 PM UTCSep 24, 26, 6:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Bank of Mexico rate decision in December
KalshiBank of Mexico rate decision in November
KalshiBank of Mexico interest rate decision — September 2026
FutuurFed rate decision in September 2026
Robinhood (Rothera)Bank of Japan rate decision in September
KalshiFed interest rate decision — September 2026
FutuurRules
If the Bank of Mexico takes the action of the named outcome at the September Governing Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Latin America
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $145.4M
- 24h Vol
- $700.9K
POLYMARKETTrump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- December 31-20.5pt8%
- September 30-5.5pt5%
- Total Vol
- $95.8K
- 24h Vol
- $95.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-3.0pt88.8%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+1.0pt9.2%
- Renan Santos-0.5pt1%
+15 more outcomes
KALSHIBrazil Presidential election winner?
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt50.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+4.0pt42.1%
- Jair Bolsonaro+0.6pt2.8%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETParaná Governor Election Winner
- Sergio Moro83.8%
- Sandro Alex-2.0pt16.2%
- Requião Filho-0.3pt0%
+6 more outcomes
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro85.6%
- Delcy Rodríguez-1.0pt12.4%
- María Corina Machado+0.1pt1%
+13 more outcomes
- Mercyhurst vs New Mexico
- Piauí Governor Election Winner
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
- Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 9?
- Tucuman vs River Plate
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Bank of Mexico rate decision in September?
- Kalshi prices Maintain current rate at 85% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Bank of Mexico rate decision in September resolve?
- Bank of Mexico rate decision in September is scheduled to resolve on September 24, 2026.
- How is Bank of Mexico rate decision in September settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Bank of Mexico takes the action of the named outcome at the September Governing Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Bank of Mexico rate decision in September listed?
- The same question is also listed on Futuur, Polymarket.