KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Jan 1, 2027 84%-4.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Before Jan 1, 2027 84%-4.0ptMarket quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$31
Open interest
$5K
Medium open interestSpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 8, 26, 10:59 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Before Aug 1, 2026Lost
Before Sep 1, 2026Lost
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurWill Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner in 2026?
PredictItHeidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
LimitlessRules
If Brian Johnson is the first person confirmed as Director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Senate
- If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Brian Johnson is the first person confirmed as Director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Aug 1, 2026
- If Brian Johnson is the first person confirmed as Director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Brian Johnson is the first person confirmed as Director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.