KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 49% 21%Market line of 9 lines
Above 49% 21%Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8.3K
Open interest
$6.8K
Medium open interestSpread
15.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 29, 26, 9:00 PM UTCOct 3, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- No
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiAnthropic share of requests on Oct 2, 2026 (Vercel)
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PolymarketRules
If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 2, 2026 is above 49%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs
- This event resolves using the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 3, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 2, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 49%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 2, 2026 is above 49%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 35.4%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 2, 2026 is above 35.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 37%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 2, 2026 is above 37%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 39.6%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 2, 2026 is above 39.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 41.9%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 2, 2026 is above 41.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 43.1%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 2, 2026 is above 43.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 43.9%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 2, 2026 is above 43.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 44.7%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 2, 2026 is above 44.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 46.9%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 2, 2026 is above 46.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.