KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 7:06 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Above 3.2% No observed price
Above 3.2% No observed priceMarket quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
—
Open interest unknownSpread
91.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 29, 26, 9:00 PM UTCOct 3, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- No
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Rules
If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 2, 2026 is above 3.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs
- This event resolves using the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 3, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 2, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 3.2%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 2, 2026 is above 3.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.9%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 2, 2026 is above 3.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.5%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 2, 2026 is above 4.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.6%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 2, 2026 is above 5.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8.1%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 2, 2026 is above 8.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8.9%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 2, 2026 is above 8.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 9.9%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 2, 2026 is above 9.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 12.1%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 2, 2026 is above 12.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 20.4%
- If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 2, 2026 is above 20.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
