KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 4% 99%Market line of 7 lines
Above 4% 99%Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$14.4K
Open interest
$14.4K
Medium open interestMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 29, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- No
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Anthropic share of requests on Oct 2, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiGoogle share of requests on Sep 30, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiDeepSeek share of requests on Sep 30, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiOpenAI share of requests on Sep 30, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRules
If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs
- This event resolves using the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Sep 30, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 4%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.5%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 5.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 10%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 13%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 13%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 11.5%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 11.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8.5%
- If the Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 8.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.