KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 15.5% 99%Market line of 8 lines
Above 15.5% 99%Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$14.4K
Open interest
$14.4K
Medium open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Sep 29, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- No
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Google share of requests on Oct 2, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiAnthropic share of requests on Sep 30, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiDeepSeek share of requests on Sep 30, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiOpenAI share of requests on Sep 30, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiWhere will it rain on Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?
PolymarketRules
If the Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 15.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs
- This event resolves using the Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Sep 30, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 15.5%
- If the Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 15.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 11.5%
- If the Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 11.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 9.5%
- If the Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 9.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 13.5%
- If the Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 13.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 23.5%
- If the Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 23.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 21.5%
- If the Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 21.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 19.5%
- If the Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 19.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 17.5%
- If the Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Sep 30, 2026 is above 17.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.