KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove 5% 95%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$193.7
Low liquidityBid / Ask
93.0% / 98.0%
Spread
5.4%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Jul 14, 26, 12:00 AMJul 1, 27, 1:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 5%95%
Volume trend
$5Jul 147d of dataJul 20
Related Markets
Testosterone unscheduled/rescheduled more permissively in US by end of 2028?
$581.6Yes: 17.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSPharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026?
$500Yes: 5.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill estradiol be available over-the-counter in the US before 2030?
$350Yes: 8.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
$91.1KYes: 38%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
$38.5KBefore Sep 1, 2026: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
Anthropic IPO by __?
$18.5KDecember 31,: 72%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
HashKey MENA Secures VARA Approval for Crypto Derivatives as Regulated Futures Market GrowsBlockchain Reporter
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
Russia passes landmark crypto bill allowing regulated retail tradingThe Block
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindeskRules
If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 5% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percent decline equals 100 × (February 2026 enrollment − February 2027 enrollment) ÷ February 2026 enrollment, based on the exact figures reported under CMS’s nationwide “All” Marketplace category, or its equivalent aggregate combining HealthCare.gov and state-based Marketplaces, in CMS’s first official or non-preliminary release containing February 2027 data.
- Nationwide includes the 50 states and Washington, D.C.
- If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 10% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 15% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 20% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.