Will the UK ban smoking for future generations before the end of 2026?
One-OffHealth & MedicineRegulationPolitics2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 96.2%
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12
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
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Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 1, 26, 5:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
In Dec 2022, New Zealand banned the sale of tobacco products to anyone born after 1 Jan 2009.
- On Oct 4, Rishi Sunak's government proposed banning younger generations from buying cigarettes by raising the smoking age by one year every year.
- This question resolves YES if legislation effecting a general restriction on smoking (e.g. ban on selling cigarettes) on the basis of a person's generation receives royal assent in the United Kingdom before the end of 2026.
- Raising the smoking age one year every year would count as a YES.
- Banning the sale of tobacco products to people born after a specified date would count as a YES.
