KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 6.75% 99%+2.0ptLeader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$22.2K
Liquidity
$32.4K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 10:40 PM UTCSep 17, 26, 3:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
KalshiWill the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
PolymarketMortgage rates higher in 5 years?
Manifold MarketsFreddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?
KalshiWhen will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
Manifold MarketsHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
KalshiRules
If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Sep 17, 2026 is above
Settles via:Freddie Mac
- 6.73%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Sep 17, 2026.
- For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday.
- The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET.
- This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week.
Open markets
Macro & EconomyKALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60-11.0pt63%
- Above $4.80+9.0pt56%
- Above $5.00+4.0pt41%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $18.6K
KALSHICarnival Cruise available lower berth days in 2026
- Above 97 million97%
- Above 97.1 million+3.0pt95%
- Above 97.2 million+3.0pt90%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $54K
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above+1.5pt51%
- 8,200 or above+3.3pt26%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.2M
KALSHIInitial jobless claims for the week ending September 12, 2026
- At least 185,000-2.0pt97%
- At least 190,00091%
- At least 195,000+9.0pt90%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes-1.0pt8%
- Total Vol
- $3.2M
- 24h Vol
- $5.5K
KALSHIWill the S&P finish positive this year?
- Yes-2.0pt82%
- No18%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $4.9K
- ISM Services PMI - September 2026
- US SPR level for the week ending September 11, 2026
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - September 2026
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- US retail sales in August
- How low will gas prices in Texas get this year?
- Will rates hit zero in 2026?
- How high will the FTSE 100 get in 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
- What will the median home value in Miami be on September 30?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 30-year mortgage rate this week?
- Kalshi prices Above 6.75% at 99% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does 30-year mortgage rate this week resolve?
- 30-year mortgage rate this week is scheduled to resolve on September 17, 2026.
- How is 30-year mortgage rate this week settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Sep 17, 2026 is above