KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above -0.8% 88%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$400
Liquidity
$2.4K
Low liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Aug 14, 26, 4:15 PMSep 16, 26, 12:25 PM
Trends
0%
0%
Rules
If the United States retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above -0.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- If the United States retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above -0.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above -0.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above -0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US retail sales in August?
- Kalshi prices Above -0.8% at 88% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does US retail sales in August resolve?
- US retail sales in August is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is US retail sales in August settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the United States retail sales MoM for August 2026 is above -0.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
