PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
49.0–51.9 41.4%-1.5ptLeader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.2K
Liquidity
$6.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+2.5 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Aug 4, 26, 10:18 PMAug 28, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Rules
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
- This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
- The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
- Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8).
