PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
46.0 to 48.9 54.5%-1.5ptLeader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.2K
Liquidity
$1.8K
Low liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 8:35 PM UTCSep 25, 26, 6:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Michigan consumer sentiment go above 65 in 2026?
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KalshiRules
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
- This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
- The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
- Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8).