Will Brazil’s sovereign credit rating be downgraded by Fitch, Moody’s, or S&P in 2026?
Latin AmericaOne-Off2mo
FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 84%
No 84%Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.2K
Low liquidityTraders
9
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Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
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FutuurRules
This event predicts whether Brazil’s long-term foreign-currency sovereign credit rating will be downgraded by any of Fitch Ratings, Moody’s Ratings, or S&P Global Ratings between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official rating action announcements published by the respective rating agencies.
- If any of these agencies formally lowers Brazil’s long-term foreign-currency sovereign rating during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Outlook changes, credit watch placements, or national-scale rating actions that do not involve a downgrade of the rating level will not count.
- If official rating announcements are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major financial news organizations.
