What are the current odds for Spain general election winner?

Futuur prices PP at 83% as of October 13, 2026.

When does Spain general election winner resolve?

Spain general election winner is scheduled to resolve on November 29, 2026.

Where else is Spain general election winner listed?

The same question is also listed on Polymarket.

Paper trade this

Spain general election winner

PoliticsOne-OffElection Europe1mo

FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution data

Current implied probability

PP 83%

Market quality

25 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

$1.1K

Low liquidity

Traders

Comments

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

These markets resolve on which party wins the most seats in Spain's Congress of Deputies in the November 29, 2026 general election, based on a consensus of credible reporting with the Ministry of the Interior's results as backup.

Only one can win; if another party wins the most seats, or the results are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, both markets resolve "No".

Prediction Source Comparison

2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for PP is 86%. The venue spread is about 3 percentage points.

CoinRithm reference PP 86% · 2 venues · 3 pt venue spread