Will the US Retail Sales growth rate be greater than -0.5% in September 2026?
4.0 pts (24h)One-OffMacro & Economy27dForecastExLimited verified dataCurrent implied probabilityYes 83%
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$20
Liquidity
$40
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the US Retail Sales growth rate be greater than 1% in September 2026?
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ForecastExRules
US Retail Sales Monthly September 2026.
- Will the US Retail Sales growth rate be greater than -0.5% in September 2026? Price reflects the latest available ForecastEx exchange evidence.
Open markets
Macro & Economy
KALSHI(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Sep 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT
- At least $51,05099%
- At least $51,12599%
- At least $51,40099%
+54 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $56.2K
- 24h Vol
- $56.2K
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above-1.6pt48%
- 8,200 or above-5.7pt20%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+5.0pt72%
- Above $4.80-5.0pt58%
- Above $5.00-1.0pt36%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIJobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Above -25,000+1.0pt94%
- Above 0+4.0pt89%
- Above 10,000-1.0pt85%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIS&P 500 Daily Up/Down
- Yes99%
- No1%
- Total Vol
- $9.7K
- 24h Vol
- $9.7K
KALSHITexas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 17, 2026
- Above 81,000 MW99%
- Above 79,000 MW99%
- Above 80,000 MW99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.5K
- 24h Vol
- $8.5K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the US Retail Sales growth rate be greater than -0.5% in September 2026??
- ForecastEx prices Yes at 83% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Will the US Retail Sales growth rate be greater than -0.5% in September 2026? resolve?
- Will the US Retail Sales growth rate be greater than -0.5% in September 2026? is scheduled to resolve on October 15, 2026.
- How is Will the US Retail Sales growth rate be greater than -0.5% in September 2026? settled?
- ForecastEx settles this market as follows: US Retail Sales Monthly September 2026.