Will the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceed -2.5% in December 2026?
InflationYearlyMacro & Economy4moForecastExLimited verified dataData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 10:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityYes 98%
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceed 3.5% in December 2026?
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ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceed 0.5% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceed 2% in August 2026?
ForecastExRules
Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index December 2026.
- Will the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceed -2.5% in December 2026? Price reflects the latest available ForecastEx exchange evidence.
Open markets
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $104.9M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $417.1K
- 24h Vol
- $41.4K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $644.9K
- 24h Vol
- $39.4K
POLYMARKETAugust Inflation China - Annual
- 0.7% - 0.8%+56.5pt100%
- ≤0.2%-0.5pt0%
- 0.3% - 0.4%-7.3pt0%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $92.7K
- 24h Vol
- $8.9K
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- CPI core in August
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- CPI-U index in August
- August Inflation US - Annual
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceed -2.5% in December 2026??
- ForecastEx prices Yes at 98% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceed -2.5% in December 2026? resolve?
- Will the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceed -2.5% in December 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 29, 2027.
- How is Will the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceed -2.5% in December 2026? settled?
- ForecastEx settles this market as follows: Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index December 2026.