Will the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceed -2.5% in December 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceed -2.5% in December 2026??

ForecastEx prices Yes at 98% as of October 28, 2026.

When does Will the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceed -2.5% in December 2026? resolve?

Will the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceed -2.5% in December 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 29, 2027.

How is Will the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceed -2.5% in December 2026? settled?

ForecastEx settles this market as follows: Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index December 2026.

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change+2.3pt96%
• 25 bps increase-2.8pt4%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$81.8M

24h Vol

$7.9M

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes76.2%
• No23.8%

Total Vol

$1.1M

24h Vol

$14.5K

KALSHI

PPI YoY in October

• Above 7.1%+88.0pt50.5%
• Above 6.1%+6.0pt53.5%
• Above 6.0%57%

POLYMARKET

PPI YoY - October 2026

• 6.8%+-12.0pt42.1%
• 6.2%+1.1pt14.9%
• 6.4%10.3%

+7 more outcomes

Total Vol

POLYMARKET

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

• Below 4.9%-5.5pt74%
• Below 4.8%-9.5pt49%
• Below 4.7%-1.0pt33%

+15 more outcomes

KALSHI

Argentina inflation rate MoM for October

• Above 1.0%99.5%
• Above 1.2%97.5%
• Above 1.4%95%

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