Will the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceed 4% in December 2026?
InflationYearly3moForecastExLimited verified dataCurrent implied probabilityNo 79%
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$220
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceed 2% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceed 3% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceed 1% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceed 0% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceed 5% in December 2026?
ForecastExRules
US Consumer Price Index Yearly December 2026.
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceed 4% in December 2026? Price reflects the latest available ForecastEx exchange evidence.
Open markets
Inflation
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Total Vol
- $80.3K
- 24h Vol
- $33.4K
KALSHICPI in September
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above -0.2%99%
- Above -0.4%99%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $223K
- 24h Vol
- $14.3K
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%98%
- Above 3.0%98%
- Above 3.2%98%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $362.3K
- 24h Vol
- $10.6K
KALSHICore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Above 2.1%99%
- Above 2.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.3%86%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $48.4K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)59.4%
- 3 (75 bps)+1.3pt25.7%
- 1 (25 bps)-2.0pt13.9%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 more outcomes
- September Inflation China - Annual
- CPI in October
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- September Inflation US - Annual
- CPI core in September
- CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026
- September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- NYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- How high will inflation get this year?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - September
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceed 4% in December 2026??
- ForecastEx prices No at 79% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Will the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceed 4% in December 2026? resolve?
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceed 4% in December 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 13, 2027.
- How is Will the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceed 4% in December 2026? settled?
- ForecastEx settles this market as follows: US Consumer Price Index Yearly December 2026.