Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Global Pandemic 62.4%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Global Pandemic 62.4%Prognostiker
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Veraltet25. Juni 24, 20:24 UTC1. Jan. 30, 22:59 UTC
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Will a global catastrophe kill at least 10% of humans before 2030, and what will be the cause?
Manifold MarketsWill a dust storm pick up material from the Great Salt Lake and cause significant health concerns by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill flatback posture be confirmed as the primary cause of schizophrenia by 2030?
Manifold MarketsIn 2030, what will consensus say is the primary cause of the increase in gender dysphoria over the past few decades?
Manifold MarketsIf AI kills everyone, how will it do it?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk come out against one of the following consensus positions before the end of 2026? (Add answers)
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Will we be bowing down to AI, or mother Nature will have the last laugh with a climate calamity, or global tensions will erupt in a nuclear showdown.
- Could it be that our economic systems will crumble under their own weight?
