Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Global Pandemic 62.4%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
37
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet25. Juni 24, 20:24 UTC1. Jan. 30, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a dust storm pick up material from the Great Salt Lake and cause significant health concerns by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill AI cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill Y2K38 cause a significant impact in the United States?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketDario Amodei arrested by December 31?
PolymarketWhich companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?
KalshiRegeln
Will we be bowing down to AI, or mother Nature will have the last laugh with a climate calamity, or global tensions will erupt in a nuclear showdown.
- Could it be that our economic systems will crumble under their own weight?
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+0.5pt73%
- September 18+1.0pt69%
- September 11+5.5pt66%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 558.057,8 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.5pt75%
- New People (NL)-1.6pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.1pt3%
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.4pt50%
- October 3128.8%
- September 30-1.0pt11.9%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-4.0pt30%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-4.0pt22%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt10%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 3110%
- November 30-1.5pt5%
- October 31-1.2pt3%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What will be the primary cause of a significant global catastrophe by 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Global Pandemic mit 62% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird What will be the primary cause of a significant global catastrophe by 2030? entschieden?
- What will be the primary cause of a significant global catastrophe by 2030? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What will be the primary cause of a significant global catastrophe by 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Will we be bowing down to AI, or mother Nature will have the last laugh with a climate calamity, or global tensions will erupt in a nuclear showdown.