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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. If AI kills everyone, how will it do it?
Manifold Markets

If AI kills everyone, how will it do it?

PolitikOne-OffKIWeatherGeopolitik53J
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Manifold Markets
Engineered pandemic 13.2%
Führend unter 13 Optionen
Prognostiker

61

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Tagen

Veraltet
4. Apr. 26, 17:2811. Apr. 80, 17:17

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Engineered pandemic13%

Regeln

If AI starts to kill everyone with some method and I am still alive and not super shocked, I will resolve the market accordingly.

Manifold Markets
  • It is enough that AI kills the majority of people by the given method A, whereas the minority is killed by some other method, for the market to be resolved in favour of method A.
  • AI mod can resolve it if it wants if all humans are killed.
  • Update 2026-04-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If AI turns humans into robots, this will not count as being 'killed' for resolution purposes.
  • Update 2026-04-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Involuntary mind-uploading of everyone does not count as killing everyone for resolution purposes.
  • Update 2026-04-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If humans and AI collaborate to kill everyone, AI gets credit for the resolution as long as AI is a significant part of it.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,668.49+2.36%EthereumETH$1,651.07+1.73%SolanaSOL$65.14+1.77%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.92%BNBBNB$595.27+1.76%XRPXRP$1.12+0.46%

Verwandte Nachrichten

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Regeln

If AI starts to kill everyone with some method and I am still alive and not super shocked, I will resolve the market accordingly.

Manifold Markets
  • It is enough that AI kills the majority of people by the given method A, whereas the minority is killed by some other method, for the market to be resolved in favour of method A.
  • AI mod can resolve it if it wants if all humans are killed.
  • Update 2026-04-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If AI turns humans into robots, this will not count as being 'killed' for resolution purposes.
  • Update 2026-04-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Involuntary mind-uploading of everyone does not count as killing everyone for resolution purposes.
  • Update 2026-04-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If humans and AI collaborate to kill everyone, AI gets credit for the resolution as long as AI is a significant part of it.