Will Elon Musk come out against one of the following consensus positions before the end of 2026? (Add answers)
GeopolitikKIWetter2MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseVaccines are safe 25.6%Führend unter 6 Optionen
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35
Fragetyp
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet8. März 25, 01:37 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES for any answer if, before the market close date, Elon Musk makes public statements that clearly contradict the scientific consensus position described in that answer.
- Specifically:
- For "the named outcome": The market will resolve YES if Musk explicitly states that climate change is not real, not happening, or not significantly caused by human activity.
- For "the named outcome": The market will resolve YES if Musk explicitly states that vaccines in general are unsafe, harmful, or more dangerous than the diseases they prevent.
- Coming out against mRNA vaccines counts if and only if there's a clear scientific consensus that they are safe.
