Will a dust storm pick up material from the Great Salt Lake and cause significant health concerns by 2030?
WeatherOne-Off3J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 62%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Stunden
Veraltet19. März 23, 01:06 UTC2. Jan. 30, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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This market is intended to predict whether or not the drying of the Great Salt Lake will both continue to occur and have significant negative effects to human health in the surroundings region (on a medium term timescale).
- It is very likely the dust storm would need to meet the following requirements for me to resolve this as Yes:
- Contains a large amount of (presumably poisonous, likely arsenic laden) material from the Great Salt Lake lake bed
- Is expected to cause specifically attributable negative health affects (over the victims lifetime) to greater than 500 people and/or required more than $10,000,000 to mitigate the negative effects of (possibly through economic losses of Shelter In Place or Evacuation orders)
- Recieved reporting by a major news outlet (respected news outlets in the SLC region count).
- Please feel free to ask questions about how I would resolve this in various cases in the comments.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a dust storm pick up material from the Great Salt Lake and cause significant health concerns by 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 62% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will a dust storm pick up material from the Great Salt Lake and cause significant health concerns by 2030? entschieden?
- Will a dust storm pick up material from the Great Salt Lake and cause significant health concerns by 2030? soll am 2. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will a dust storm pick up material from the Great Salt Lake and cause significant health concerns by 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market is intended to predict whether or not the drying of the Great Salt Lake will both continue to occur and have significant negative effects to human health in the surroundings region (on a medium term timescale).