Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseFreezing of Frontline without official negotions 35.4%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
42
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+0.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet3. Sept. 23, 06:05 UTC1. Jan. 30, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
After the war in Ukraine ends, which of the following regions (oblasts) will be held by Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsWill the war in Ukraine still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Vladimir Putin die before the end of the war on Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsWill any more top brass on the Russian side die before the end of the war on Ukraine? [See Description]
Manifold MarketsWhat Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsTrump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Update 2025-06-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution will be based on whether one side achieves most of its strategic goals, with a huge misalignment in goal achievement required for a "the named outcome" resolution.
- Russia's strategic goals:
- Making Ukraine dependent on Russia (via annexation or political influence).
- Huge territorial gains (the creator will almost certainly resolve to a Russian win if 50% of Ukraine is annexed).
- Recognition of Crimea as Russian.
- Ukraine's strategic goals: