PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit4 42%+6.8%Führend unter 16 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
4424,9 €
Liquidität
268.710,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.1% / 0.2%
Spread
100.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
13. Nov. 25, 16:0231. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
442%
Verwandte Märkte
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This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
- Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
- For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
- Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
- Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.