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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 39 Minuten
14. Mai 22, 01:21 UTC1. Jan. 30, 06:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the war on Christmas still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030?
Manifold MarketsIf Germany stops giving Ukraine heavy weapons, will Ukraine still exist in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine still hold Zaporizhzhia city after the war between Ukraine and Russia ends?
Manifold MarketsHow will the war in Ukraine end?
Manifold MarketsRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves yes if there is a state of war between Ukraine and Russia or Russian-backed separatists.
- Unless they have a permanent ceasefire and <10 fatalities per year, like Korea.
- Regardless of treaties, the war "ends" when there is a 1 year period with <10 combat fatalities.