Probabilidade implícita atual
0-1.0% 50.5%-0.9ptLíder entre 9 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
62 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
89,6 €
Liquidez
8,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+27.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
22/01/26, 00:32 UTC31/01/27, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
PolymarketUK Annual GDP Growth 2026
PolymarketChina Annual GDP Growth 2026
PolymarketAre Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Eurozone GDP exceed 0% in Q4 2026?
ForecastExRegras
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
- If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.
Mercados abertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 91 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 569,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 47,4 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 359,2 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-6.0pt90%
- Above -4.5% of GDP80%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 16,4 mil
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP-1.0pt96%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-8.0pt86%
- Above -4.0% of GDP+1.0pt51%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-3.0pt22%
- Volume total
- € 314,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 9,5 mil
- CPI core in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- US recession by end of 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026?
- A Polymarket cota 0-1.0% em 51% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026 é resolvido?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026 é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.