KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 5% 94%Líder entre 10 opções
Qualidade do mercado
45 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
6,8 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
5.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
4/06/25, 14:00 UTC4/01/30, 13:25 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the U-3 unemployment rate from June 2025 to January 2030 is above 5%, the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 6%, the market resolves to Yes.
- If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 7%, the market resolves to Yes.
- If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 8%, the market resolves to Yes.
- If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 9%, the market resolves to Yes.
- If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 10%, the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 97,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 4,8 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 702,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 91 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 400 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-8.0pt26%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 34,5 mil
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP79%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-5.0pt62%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 28,3 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No97%
- Yes-3.0pt3%
- Volume total
- € 2,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 4,9 mil
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- China unemployment rate in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de How high will unemployment get before 2030??
- A Kalshi cota Above 5% em 94% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando How high will unemployment get before 2030? é resolvido?
- How high will unemployment get before 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 4 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como How high will unemployment get before 2030? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the U-3 unemployment rate from June 2025 to January 2030 is above 5%, the market resolves to Yes.