KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualSim 40%
Qualidade do mercado
72 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
91,6 €
Liquidez
32,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
37.0% / 39.0%
Spread
5.4%
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 minutos
24/04/26, 19:1531/01/28, 13:25
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes40%
Tendência de volume
$1042 de jul.25d de dados26 de jul.
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Recession this year?
3,2 mil €Sim: 11%KALSHI
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Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
10,8 mil €Above 3.4%: 31%KALSHI
KALSHI
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3,9 mil €0-1%: 56%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2026: Trump's dream year?
1,8 mil €Sim: 5%KALSHI
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US economic state at the end of 2026?
1,6 mil €Soft Landing: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US recession by end of 2026?
467,7 €Sim: 12%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
Regras
If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in Q4 2026 through Q4 2027, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the avoidance of doubt, qualifying consecutive quarters may include Q4 2026 and Q1 2027.
- GDP growth refers to the quarter-over-quarter annualized percent change in real GDP as reported in the Advance Estimate for each quarter.
- The market will close at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or 8:25 AM ET on the morning of the expected release of the Advance Estimate of 2027 Q4 GDP.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or the first 10:00 AM ET after the release of the Advance Estimate of 2027 Q4 GDP.