KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 77%
Qualidade do mercado
80 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
1,2 mil €
Liquidez
162,2 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
23.0% / 24.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
24/04/26, 19:15 UTC31/01/28, 13:25 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Recession this year?
KalshiUS recession by end of 2027?
PolymarketWhich countries will have a recession before 2027?
KalshiWill the US experience a recession during 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada's economy enter a recession by the end of Q4 2027?
ForecastExWill the Eurozone enter a recession before the end of Q4 2027?
ForecastExRegras
If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in Q4 2026 through Q4 2027, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- For the avoidance of doubt, qualifying consecutive quarters may include Q4 2026 and Q1 2027.
- GDP growth refers to the quarter-over-quarter annualized percent change in real GDP as reported in the Advance Estimate for each quarter.
- The market will close at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or 8:25 AM ET on the morning of the expected release of the Advance Estimate of 2027 Q4 GDP.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or the first 10:00 AM ET after the release of the Advance Estimate of 2027 Q4 GDP.
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Recession in 2027??
- A Kalshi cota No em 77% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Recession in 2027? é resolvido?
- Recession in 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como Recession in 2027? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in Q4 2026 through Q4 2027, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.