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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Economia
  3. Recession in 2027?
Recession in 2027?

Recession in 2027?

5.0% (24h)EconomiaOne-Off1a
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 46%+5.0%
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0,3 €

Liquidez

198,6 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

44.0% / 50.0%

Spread

13.6%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 7 minutos

24/04/26, 19:1531/01/28, 13:25

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes46%

Regras

If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in Q4 2026 through Q4 2027, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the avoidance of doubt, qualifying consecutive quarters may include Q4 2026 and Q1 2027.
  • GDP growth refers to the quarter-over-quarter annualized percent change in real GDP as reported in the Advance Estimate for each quarter.
  • The market will close at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or 8:25 AM ET on the morning of the expected release of the Advance Estimate of 2027 Q4 GDP.
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or the first 10:00 AM ET after the release of the Advance Estimate of 2027 Q4 GDP.

Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,963.68+2.52%EthereumETH$1,660.88+1.86%SolanaSOL$65.35+1.78%

Mercados Relacionados

Recession this year?

Recession this year?

67,9 €
Sim: 18%KalshiKALSHI
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

3,2 mil €
Sim: 20%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

792,5 €
5.0%: 17%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

259,8 €
Sim: 27.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
June Unemployment Rate

June Unemployment Rate

134,5 €
4.4%: 34%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US real GDP growth in 2030?

US real GDP growth in 2030?

134,2 €
2.6% to 3.0%: 11%KalshiKALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.60%XRPXRP$1.12+0.59%BNBBNB$597.16+1.90%CardanoADA$0.1652+2.63%HyperliquidHYPE$55.98+0.98%LitecoinLTC$42.68+0.50%

Regras

If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in Q4 2026 through Q4 2027, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the avoidance of doubt, qualifying consecutive quarters may include Q4 2026 and Q1 2027.
  • GDP growth refers to the quarter-over-quarter annualized percent change in real GDP as reported in the Advance Estimate for each quarter.
  • The market will close at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or 8:25 AM ET on the morning of the expected release of the Advance Estimate of 2027 Q4 GDP.
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or the first 10:00 AM ET after the release of the Advance Estimate of 2027 Q4 GDP.