Probabilidade implícita atual
Soft Landing 62%+3.5%Líder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
79 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
1,5 mil €
Liquidez
10,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
61.0% / 62.0%
Spread
1.6%
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
+20.0%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
24/04/26, 21:4931/01/27, 0:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Soft Landing62%
Comparar plataformas· Soft landing
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Alta | 62% | 0pt | 1,5 mil € | 10,3 mil € | há 6 minutos | |
 Kalshi93% de correspondência · verificado | Média | 62% | 0pt | 924,9 € | 21 mil € | há 26 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Kalshi
State of the economy at the end of 2026
2.3%5m
+2.3%62%
-5.5%20%
12%
+1 mais resultados
52 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploLiquidez médiaAlta ambiguidade
Volume total45,3 mil €
Volume 24h924,9 €
KALSHIRegras
The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release.
- The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release.
- This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026.
- If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
- This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$1.8k2 de jul.24d de dados26 de jul.
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The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release.
- The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release.
- This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026.
- If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
- This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.