PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
No change 69.2%Líder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
89 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
13,1 mil €
Liquidez
1,3 M €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoComments
0
Variação 7d
-0.4 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 minutos
17/06/26, 23:3428/10/26, 23:59
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
Referencia CoinRithm No change 72% · 2 plataformas · faixa de 1 pt
- Também disponível em Limitless — Fed Decision in October? · No change 70%
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Fed decision in Oct 2026? · Fed maintains rate 71%
- Também disponível em Robinhood (Rothera) — Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026) · H 0 64%
Mercados abertos
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change+1.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 40,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1 mi
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate+2.0pt66.7%
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt30.4%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,6 mi
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt65.6%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt28.3%
- Cut 25bps-1.0pt2.8%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+2.6pt88.1%
- Exactly 1 cut-0.6pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.3pt2%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed maintains rate71.6%
- Hike 25bps22.6%
- Cut 25bps-1.0pt2.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 224,9 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0+0.8pt86%
- 1 (2510%
- 2 (50+0.1pt3%
+10 mais resultados
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 4.125% at the FOMC meeting ending September 16, 2026?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Fed Decision in October??
- A Polymarket cota No change em 69% em 23 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Fed Decision in October? é resolvido?
- Fed Decision in October? deverá ser resolvido em 28 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Fed Decision in October? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- Onde mais Fed Decision in October? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Limitless, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera).