KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Fed maintains rate 70.9%Líder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
84 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
28 mil €
Liquidez
193,2 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
29/09/25, 14:0028/10/26, 17:59
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "the named outcome" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
Referencia CoinRithm No change 72% · 2 plataformas · faixa de 1 pt
Mercados abertos
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change+1.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 40,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1 mi
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate+2.0pt66.7%
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt30.4%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,6 mi
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt65.6%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt28.3%
- Cut 25bps-1.0pt2.8%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+2.6pt88.1%
- Exactly 1 cut-0.6pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.3pt2%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0+0.8pt86%
- 1 (2510%
- 2 (50+0.1pt3%
+10 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- No change60.6%
- 25 bps increase26.9%
- 25 bps decrease+1.4pt8.7%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Fed Decision in October?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 4.125% at the FOMC meeting ending September 16, 2026?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Fed decision in Oct 2026??
- A Kalshi cota Fed maintains rate em 71% em 23 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Fed decision in Oct 2026? é resolvido?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 28 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Fed decision in Oct 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Fed decision in Oct 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Limitless, Polymarket, Robinhood (Rothera).