Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

6.3% (24h)FedOne-Off5m

KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa

Probabilidade implícita atual

Sim 6%-6.3%

Qualidade do mercado

89 / 100

Alta qualidade

Volume 24h

10,6 mil €

Liquidez

177 mil €

Alta liquidez

Compra / Venda

9.0% / 9.5%

Spread

5.6%

Spread moderado

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 15 minutos

6/01/26, 15:001/01/27, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

Yes6%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.

Tendência de volume

$12.1k

2 de jul.7d de dados8 de jul.

Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro

BitcoinBTC$61,755.49-3.40%

EthereumETH$1,724.89-3.98%

SolanaSOL$76.85-6.27%

Mercados Relacionados

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

1,8 M €

Hike >25bps: 1%

KALSHI

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike by...?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

85,8 mil €

0 (0: 77%

POLYMARKET

Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?

83,9 mil €

Above 3.75%: 23%

KALSHI

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

18,3 mil €

Exactly 0 cuts: 76%

KALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

DogecoinDOGE$0.072-4.27%

XRPXRP$1.07-4.84%

BNBBNB$562.63-3.77%

ZcashZEC$455.32-8.18%

CardanoADA$0.1658-6.41%

HyperliquidHYPE$67.08-6.68%

Notícias Relacionadas

Bitcoin climbs toward $60,000 after Fed Chair Warsh said inflation risks has come downCoindesk

U.S. Supreme Court blocks Trump bid to remove Fed Governor Lisa CookCrypto News

BofA sees 75 bps Fed hikes as Polymarket keeps 2026 no-cuts at 77%Blockchain.News

Hot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%Blockchain.News

PCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%Blockchain.News

Inflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.News

Regras

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

6.3% (24h)FedOne-Off5m

KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa

Probabilidade implícita atual

Sim 6%-6.3%

Qualidade do mercado

89 / 100

Alta qualidade

Volume 24h

10,6 mil €

Liquidez

177 mil €

Alta liquidez

Compra / Venda

9.0% / 9.5%

Spread

5.6%

Spread moderado

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 15 minutos

6/01/26, 15:001/01/27, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

Yes6%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.

Tendência de volume

$12.1k

2 de jul.7d de dados8 de jul.

Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro

BitcoinBTC$61,755.49-3.40%

EthereumETH$1,724.89-3.98%

SolanaSOL$76.85-6.27%

Mercados Relacionados

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

1,8 M €

Hike >25bps: 1%

KALSHI

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike by...?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

85,8 mil €

0 (0: 77%

POLYMARKET

Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?

83,9 mil €

Above 3.75%: 23%

KALSHI

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

18,3 mil €

Exactly 0 cuts: 76%

KALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

DogecoinDOGE$0.072-4.27%

XRPXRP$1.07-4.84%

BNBBNB$562.63-3.77%

ZcashZEC$455.32-8.18%

CardanoADA$0.1658-6.41%

HyperliquidHYPE$67.08-6.68%

Notícias Relacionadas

Bitcoin climbs toward $60,000 after Fed Chair Warsh said inflation risks has come downCoindesk

U.S. Supreme Court blocks Trump bid to remove Fed Governor Lisa CookCrypto News

BofA sees 75 bps Fed hikes as Polymarket keeps 2026 no-cuts at 77%Blockchain.News

Hot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%Blockchain.News

PCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%Blockchain.News

Inflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.News

Regras

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.