PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
4.70% 71%Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
5,4 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
3/09/26, 01:05 UTC31/12/26, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026.
- If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Mercados abertos
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt53%
- No change-4.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 89,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,3 mi
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt45%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 33,3 mi
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt47.8%
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt46.8%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No86%
- Yes+3.8pt14%
- Volume total
- € 995,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 39,4 mil
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)-0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)+0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.3pt2%
+10 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt30.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt2.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027??
- A Polymarket cota 4.70% em 71% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027? é resolvido?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026.