KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Fed maintains rate 61%-2.0ptLíder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
72 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
895,5 €
Liquidez
29 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
29/09/25, 14:0027/01/27, 18:59
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "the named outcome" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
Mercados abertos
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change67.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease+0.5pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 40,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 963,2 mil
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate66%
- Hike 25bps31.1%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 123 mil
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+2.0pt87.1%
- Exactly 1 cut-0.6pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts+0.5pt3%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed maintains rate70.9%
- Hike 25bps22.3%
- Cut 25bps3.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 225 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 28 mil
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0+0.7pt86%
- 1 (2510%
- 2 (50+0.1pt3%
+10 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- No change60.6%
- 25 bps increase-0.5pt26.9%
- 25 bps decrease+1.5pt8.7%
+2 mais resultados
- Fed Decision in October?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed Decision in January?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Bank of Israel decision in August?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Fed decision in Jan 2027??
- A Kalshi cota Fed maintains rate em 61% em 23 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Fed decision in Jan 2027? é resolvido?
- Fed decision in Jan 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 27 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Fed decision in Jan 2027? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Fed decision in Jan 2027? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket.