Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim 83.2%+4.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
86 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
31,2 mil €
Liquidez
189,7 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
83.0% / 84.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
16/09/26, 18:24 UTC9/12/26, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Next Fed rate hike?
KalshiWill the Fed lower the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExFed rate hike by...? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsAnother Fed Rate Hike in 2026?
Manifold MarketsFed rate hike in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market.
- Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
- This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm é de 84%. As cotações diferem cerca de 1 ponto percentual entre as plataformas mais afastadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 84% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersao entre venues
Mercados abertos
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt49.5%
- No change-4.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 5,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,5 mi
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.3pt4%
- Exactly 3 cuts+0.5pt1%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.6pt97.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.2pt2.1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 mais resultados
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt49.5%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt46.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,4 mi
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase-3.0pt65%
- No change+3.0pt31.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.2pt1.9%
+2 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- H 25+13.0pt64.9%
- H 0-5.0pt28.9%
- H 26-1.0pt3.5%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Another Fed rate hike in 2026??
- A Polymarket cota Yes em 83% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Another Fed rate hike in 2026? é resolvido?
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 9 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Another Fed rate hike in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting.
- Onde mais Another Fed rate hike in 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Limitless.