Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
1.0 pts (24h)FedGeopolíticaOne-OffCrime & Justice3m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Anthony Fauci 38%+1.0ptLíder entre 41 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤74 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,3 mil €
Liquidez
581,5 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
25/11/25, 15:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?
KalshiWill at least one of Merrick Garland or Jack Smith be charged with a federal crime by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (aka AOC) be charged with a federal crime by February 1, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Destiny be charged by the federal or Florida government by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
PolymarketWill Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?
KalshiRegras
If the named outcome has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:the New York Timesthe Associated PressBloombergReutersAxiosThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationPoliticoNBCCNNABCCBSMSNBCBBCNPR
- Charges filed in military courts are included.
- The reinstatement of charges filed prior to Issuance does not count; only the filing of a new charging document after Issuance triggers the Payout Criterion.
- Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
- Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
- Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count.
Mercados abertos
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt44.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 34,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,2 mi
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 543,5 mil
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 44,4 mi
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota Anthony Fauci em 38% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? é resolvido?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the named outcome has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.