PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
No change 76.2%+0.5ptLíder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
74 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,3 mil €
Liquidez
20,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComments
0
Variação 7d
-3.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
31/07/26, 23:4230/10/26, 0:00
Tendências
0%
0%
Regras
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting.
- If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued.
Mercados abertos
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-3.0pt67.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt31.7%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 39,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 3,6 mi
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt65.3%
- Hike 25bps+4.0pt31.7%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,4 mi
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.4pt83.5%
- Exactly 1 cut-0.7pt9.7%
- Exactly 2 cuts+0.4pt2.9%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+7.0pt56%
- No-7.0pt44%
- Volume total
- € 6,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 146,8 mil
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate+1.0pt65.6%
- Hike 25bps28.8%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2.4%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 138,6 mil
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0-0.7pt85.9%
- 1 (2510.1%
- 2 (50-0.6pt3%
+10 mais resultados
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Bank of Japan Decision in October??
- A Polymarket cota No change em 76% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Bank of Japan Decision in October? é resolvido?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Bank of Japan Decision in October? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).