PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
25 bps increase 70.8%+21.5ptLíder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
51 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,4 mil €
Liquidez
2,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
18/09/26, 23:57 UTC18/12/26, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
PolymarketBank of Japan Decision in October?
LimitlessBank of Japan rate decision in October
KalshiWill the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBank of Japan interest rate decision — October 2026
FutuurWill the Bank of Japan leave the rate unchanged at the October 30, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExRegras
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, scheduled for December 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
Central Banks
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- H 077%
- H 2621%
- H 2513%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 7,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,5 mil
POLYMARKETBank of Korea decision in November?
- 25 bps hike-9.0pt53.9%
- No Change+8.0pt41.2%
- 50+ bps hike+1.1pt3.9%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETSwiss National Bank decision in September?
- No Change100%
- 50+ bps increase0%
- 25 bps increase0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 17,4 mil
KALSHICentral Bank of Brazil rate decision in November
- Cut 1-25bps57%
- Maintain current rate-31.0pt6%
- Hike 1-25bps2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 3,7 mil
KALSHIHungary rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate-1.0pt88.7%
- Cut more than 50bps+2.0pt2.8%
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt2.8%
+4 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in October?
- No change+1.0pt82.3%
- 25 bps increase+0.5pt16.7%
- 50+ bps increase-2.0pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Bank of Japan rate decision in October
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- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
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- Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- Swiss National Bank rate decision in September
- Bank of Brazil decision in December?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Bank of Japan Decision in December??
- A Polymarket cota 25 bps increase em 71% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Bank of Japan Decision in December? é resolvido?
- Bank of Japan Decision in December? deverá ser resolvido em 18 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Bank of Japan Decision in December? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- Onde mais Bank of Japan Decision in December? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.