PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
25 bps increase 57.7%-0.5ptLíder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
51 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
603,9 €
Liquidez
3,8 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
14/09/26, 22:13 UTC17/12/26, 11:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PolymarketECB Interest Rates: October 2026
LimitlessWill the Fed raise the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Fed raise the rate 25bps in December 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastEx🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tumbles understand why raising interest rates lowers inflation? (before 2027)
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 16-17, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Limitless — ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 · 25 bps increase 56%
Mercados abertos
Central Banks
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Hike 25bps+11.0pt46.8%
- Fed maintains rate-6.0pt46.3%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt3.2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 109,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 20,7 mil
KALSHIChicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September
- Above -0.6298%
- Above -0.60+1.0pt95%
- Above -0.58+7.0pt86%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 26,6 mil
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in October?
- No change+2.5pt79.6%
- 25 bps increase-0.5pt17.5%
- 50+ bps increase+1.4pt2.9%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- No change+1.0pt52.9%
- 25 bps increase+1.5pt47.1%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in October
- Maintain current rate+19.0pt73.7%
- Hike 25bps-2.0pt16.7%
- Hike more than 25bps+7.0pt7.9%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in November
- Hike 1-25bps52%
- Hike more than 25bps3%
- Cut more than 25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 4,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 4,3 mil
- South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- US active housing listings in September
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?
- Bank of Canada Decision in December?
- Swiss National Bank decision in September?
- Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August
- Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
- South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de ECB Interest Rates: December 2026?
- A Polymarket cota 25 bps increase em 58% em 19 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 é resolvido?
- ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 17 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- Onde mais ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Limitless.