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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Fed
  3. Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?

Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?

FedOne-OffLatin AmericaCentral Banks6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Exactly 2 cuts
Exactly 2 cuts 34%
Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado

24 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

59,9 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

25.0% / 30.0%

Spread

20.0%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

2/06/26, 23:001/01/27, 14:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Exactly 2 cuts34%

Regras

If the total number of Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 is exactly 2, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Underlying is the number of discrete decreases in the Brazil interest rate value during calendar year 2026.
  • Each separate decrease counts as one rate cut, regardless of the size of the decrease.
  • For example, a decrease from 14.75% to 14.50% counts as one rate cut, and a decrease from 14.50% to 14.25% would count as another rate cut.
  • Rate cuts before market issuance count, provided they occurred during calendar year 2026.
  • As of issuance, Brazil has already had 2 qualifying 2026 rate cuts: the Selic target was reduced to 14.75% in March 2026 and to 14.50% in April 2026.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

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Regras

If the total number of Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 is exactly 2, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Underlying is the number of discrete decreases in the Brazil interest rate value during calendar year 2026.
  • Each separate decrease counts as one rate cut, regardless of the size of the decrease.
  • For example, a decrease from 14.75% to 14.50% counts as one rate cut, and a decrease from 14.50% to 14.25% would count as another rate cut.
  • Rate cuts before market issuance count, provided they occurred during calendar year 2026.
  • As of issuance, Brazil has already had 2 qualifying 2026 rate cuts: the Selic target was reduced to 14.75% in March 2026 and to 14.50% in April 2026.