KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Exactly 5 cuts 36.1%Líder entre 6 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
66 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
12,3 €
Liquidez
37,2 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
2/06/26, 23:00 UTC1/01/27, 14:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the total number of Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 is exactly 2, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Trading Economics
- The Underlying is the number of discrete decreases in the Brazil interest rate value during calendar year 2026.
- Each separate decrease counts as one rate cut, regardless of the size of the decrease.
- For example, a decrease from 14.75% to 14.50% counts as one rate cut, and a decrease from 14.50% to 14.25% would count as another rate cut.
- Rate cuts before market issuance count, provided they occurred during calendar year 2026.
- As of issuance, Brazil has already had 2 qualifying 2026 rate cuts: the Selic target was reduced to 14.75% in March 2026 and to 14.50% in April 2026.
Mercados abertos
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt44.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 34,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,2 mi
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 543,5 mil
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 44,4 mi
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota Exactly 5 cuts em 36% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026? é resolvido?
- Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the total number of Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 is exactly 2, then the market resolves to Yes.