KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualExactly 4 cuts 1%+0.1%Líder entre 21 opções
Qualidade do mercado
73 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
30,6 mil €
Liquidez
3,8 M €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
0.7% / 0.9%
Spread
28.6%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 26 minutos
29/09/25, 14:001/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Exactly 4 cuts1%
Comparar plataformas· Exactly 0 cuts
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral82% de correspondência · verificado | Média | 85% | — | 48 mil € | 2,2 M € | há 6 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Média | 83% | — | 30,6 mil € | 3,8 M € | há 26 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets80% de correspondência · verificado | — | 53% | — | — | — | há 21 horas | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets85% de correspondência · verificado | — | 83% | — | — | — | anteontem | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
5m
+1.4%82.8%
-0.9%8.1%
-0.2%2.8%
+6 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade16 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
5m
+0.4%85%
9%
+0.1%3%
+10 mais resultados
73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidez
Volume total39,4 M €
Volume 24h48 mil €
POLYMARKETTambém disponível em Manifold Markets
How many net Fed rate cuts in 2026?
5m
53.3%
34.4%
8.5%
+3 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade25 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegras
If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
- If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 2 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 3 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 4 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$1.4k83.0%KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yeshá 3 dias
KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yeshá 3 dias$1.1k84.6%POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionalityhá 3 dias
POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionalityhá 3 dias$1.3k84.8%POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionalityhá 4 dias
POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionalityhá 4 dias$2.9k99.6%POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Nokristina38há 4 dias
POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Nokristina38há 4 dias$2.8k99.3%POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Noaaronhillhá 5 dias
POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Noaaronhillhá 5 dias$1.7k20.0%KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Nohá 6 dias
KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Nohá 6 dias$3.4k15.0%POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — NoyameteV9há 7 dias
POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — NoyameteV9há 7 dias$2.8k79.0%KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yeshá 10 dias
KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yeshá 10 diasTendência de volume
$34.8k2 de jul.25d de dados26 de jul.
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If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
- If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 2 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 3 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 4 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.