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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Fed
  3. Fed decision in Dec 2026?
Fed decision in Dec 2026?

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

4.0% (24h)FedOne-Off6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Cut 25bps
Cut 25bps 8%+4.0%
Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0,1 €

Liquidez

73,6 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

3.0% / 6.0%

Spread

100.0%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 7 minutos

29/09/25, 14:009/12/26, 18:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Cut 25bps8%

Regras

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on December 09, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market is mutually exclusive.
  • Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
  • Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
  • Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
  • If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on December 09, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,601.46+2.36%EthereumETH$1,650.79+1.70%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.42%

Mercados Relacionados

Fed decision in Jun 2026?

Fed decision in Jun 2026?

8,4 mil €
Fed maintains rate: 98%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Jul 2026?

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

936,9 €
Cut 25bps: 3%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Sep 2026?

Fed decision in Sep 2026?

10,2 €
Hike 25bps: 16%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Jul 2027?

Fed decision in Jul 2027?

1,6 €
Cut 25bps: 12%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Dec 2027?

Fed decision in Dec 2027?

0,1 €
Hike 25bps: 2%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Apr 2027?

Fed decision in Apr 2027?

0,1 €
Cut >25bps: 1%KalshiKALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.72%BNBBNB$594.24+1.57%XRPXRP$1.12+0.19%CardanoADA$0.1664+3.18%HyperliquidHYPE$54.67-1.25%LitecoinLTC$42.70+0.81%

Notícias Relacionadas

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsStrategy's bitcoin purchase fails to stir BTC priceCoindeskBitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto NewsThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsMay 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut OutlookBlockchain Reporter

Regras

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on December 09, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market is mutually exclusive.
  • Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
  • Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
  • Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
  • If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on December 09, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.