KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 27 de out. de 2026, 10:40 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Ponto médio do livro selecionado
Hike 1-25bps · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
Hike 1-25bps 77%Líder entre 5 opções
Hike 1-25bps 77%Qualidade do mercado
21 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Contratos em aberto
3,2 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
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Hike 1-25bpsSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado25/08/26, 18:00 UTC17/12/26, 13:14 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Hike 1-25bps
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
European Central Bank rate decision in October
KalshiSwiss National Bank rate decision in December
KalshiCzech National Bank rate decision in November
KalshiBank of England rate decision in December
KalshiWill Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026?
FutuurWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026?
ForecastExRegras
If the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Regras de cada resultado
- Hike 1-25bps
- If the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Maintain current rate
- If the European Central Bank takes the action of Maintain current rate at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut more than 25bps
- If the European Central Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut 1-25bps
- If the European Central Bank takes the action of Cut 1-25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hike more than 25bps
- If the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike more than 25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Polymarket — ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 · 25 bps increase 77%
