KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Maintain current rate 81.1%Líder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
3 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
25/08/26, 18:00 UTC29/10/26, 13:14 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
European Central Bank rate decision in September
KalshiEuropean Central Bank rate decision in December
KalshiEuropean Central Bank interest rate decision in September
FutuurCzech National Bank rate decision in September
KalshiWill Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026?
FutuurWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 1.9% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending September, 10, 2026?
ForecastExRegras
If the European Central Bank takes the action of the named outcome at October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
Central Banks
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase-0.5pt97%
- No change+0.6pt2%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 588,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 39,7 mil
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
- Hike 1-25bps+1.0pt95.2%
- Maintain current rate+1.0pt1.9%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0-1.0pt63%
- H 2525.9%
- C 25-1.0pt5.6%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 12,6 mil
POLYMARKETBank of England decision in September?
- No change-0.6pt96%
- 25 bps increase+1.3pt3%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt94.2%
- Hike more than 25bps1.9%
- Maintain current rate1.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 144,6 mil
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Czech National Bank rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of England rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- Bank of Brazil decision in September?
- Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de European Central Bank rate decision in October?
- A Kalshi cota Maintain current rate em 81% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando European Central Bank rate decision in October é resolvido?
- European Central Bank rate decision in October deverá ser resolvido em 29 de outubro de 2026.
- Como European Central Bank rate decision in October é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the European Central Bank takes the action of the named outcome at October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais European Central Bank rate decision in October está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.