KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Maintain current rate 85.4%Líder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Maintain current rate 85.4%Qualidade do mercado
40 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Contratos em aberto
15,8 mil €
Contratos em aberto: médioDados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 minutos
29/09/26, 17:00 UTC3/11/26, 03:29 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia lower the rate 25bps at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExReserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November?
Manifold MarketsReserve Bank of Australia Decision in December
PolymarketWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExWill the Reserve Bank of Australia raise the rate 25bps at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExSouth African Reserve Bank Decision in November?
PolymarketRegras
If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of maintain current rate at its November Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
Regras de cada resultado
- Maintain current rate
- If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of maintain current rate at its November Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hike 1-25bps
- If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of hike 1-25bps at its November Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut more than 25bps
- If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of cut more than 25bps at its November Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut 1-25bps
- If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of cut 1-25bps at its November Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hike more than 25bps
- If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of hike more than 25bps at its November Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
