KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Exactly 2.50% 48.7%+1.0ptLíder entre 8 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
42 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
209 €
Liquidez
9,6 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
8.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 minutos
6/05/26, 17:00 UTC1/01/27, 03:28 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?
KalshiBank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Bank of Canada lower the rate 25bps at the October 28, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExWill the Bank of Canada lower the rate 25bps at the December 9, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExWill Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20?
FutuurBank of Canada Decision in October?
PolymarketRegras
If the Bank of Canada overnight rate target on December 31, 2026 is exactly 1.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Bank of Canada
- The “overnight rate target” refers to the Bank of Canada’s policy interest rate, not the Bank Rate, deposit rate, Canadian Overnight Repo Rate Average, prime rate, bond yields, or any other interest rate.
- The market will resolve based on the Bank of Canada’s officially stated target for the overnight rate that is in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
- If the Bank of Canada overnight rate target on December 31, 2026 is exactly 1.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bank of Canada overnight rate target on December 31, 2026 is exactly 2.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bank of Canada overnight rate target on December 31, 2026 is exactly 2.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt52.9%
- No change-1.0pt45.1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 969,4 mil
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed maintains rate+2.0pt47.2%
- Hike 25bps45.8%
- Hike >25bps-1.0pt2.8%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 28,5 mil
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps-2.0pt50%
- Fed maintains rate47%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,9 mi
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase68.7%
- No change-2.0pt28.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt2%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.5pt98%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt1%
+10 mais resultados
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes86.1%
- No13.9%
- Volume total
- € 110,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 26,2 mil
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Bank of Mexico Decision in September?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Central Bank of Colombia decision in September
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026?
- A Kalshi cota Exactly 2.50% em 48.7% em 23 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026 é resolvido?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026 é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Bank of Canada overnight rate target on December 31, 2026 is exactly 1.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.