KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before July 2028 92%-3.0ptLíder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
68 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
9,2 mil €
Liquidez
8,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
16/09/26, 20:30 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Fed lower the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExFed rate hike by...? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsAnother Fed Rate Hike in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
LimitlessFed rate hike in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Federal Reserve
- If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Jun 30, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt49.5%
- No change-4.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 5,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,5 mi
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.3pt4%
- Exactly 3 cuts+0.5pt1%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.6pt97.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.2pt2.1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 mais resultados
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt49.5%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt46.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,4 mi
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase-3.0pt65%
- No change+3.0pt31.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.2pt1.9%
+2 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- H 25+13.0pt64.9%
- H 0-5.0pt28.9%
- H 26-1.0pt3.5%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Next Fed rate hike??
- A Kalshi cota Before July 2028 em 92% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Next Fed rate hike? é resolvido?
- Next Fed rate hike? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Next Fed rate hike? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.