KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 98%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
19,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
0.6% / 1.0%
Spread
0.4 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
6/01/26, 15:00 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill credit card rates be capped in 2026?
KalshiECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PolymarketWill the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the Federal Reserve sets the target federal funds rate range to 0.00-0.25%, or lower, before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Federal Reserve
Mercados abertos
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 35 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 mais resultados
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will rates hit zero in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota No em 98% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will rates hit zero in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will rates hit zero in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will rates hit zero in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Federal Reserve sets the target federal funds rate range to 0.00-0.25%, or lower, before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.