Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
FedOne-OffInflationPolíticaUS Politics3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 99%
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado18/03/26, 16:25 UTC30/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if the Federal Reserve cuts the federal funds rate at least 3 times (in 25-basis-point increments) before December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official FOMC announcements and the Federal Reserve's policy decisions.
- Check the Federal Reserve's official website for rate decision announcements.
- The Fed left the federal funds rate unchanged at the 3.5%–3.75% target range in its January 2026 meeting, after three consecutive rate cuts in 2025.
- The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold the federal funds rate steady within the 3.5%–3.75% target range for a second consecutive meeting in March 2026.
Mercados abertos
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 34,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,6 mi
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volume total
- € 3,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 45,5 mil
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 mais resultados
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volume total
- € 997 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 41,2 mil
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 99% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? é resolvido?
- Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria